SPK: Recovery in property market had been evident, but an important takeaway from the URA data is the improvement in residential occupancy rate and tapering of new supply completion over the next 2 years. This is what the property market really needs to sustain the recovery momentum. As long as owners are able to rent out their properties, they will at least have some cashflow to cover part of their mortgage repayment and this will ease the cashflow pressure on them. The tapering of new supply completion will also ease competition for tenants and further improve occupancy rates.
SPK: More developments are going for collective sales but as mentioned in SPK’s earlier post on market outlook, the collective sale market may start to cool for a while, before picking up again in 2H 2018. A total of 27 residential sites and 3 commercial/industrial sites worth S$8.7 bil were sold in collective sales last year. Developers may focus on preparation works for new project launches, instead of acquiring more sites. Other developers that have not acquired any sites may take a wait-and-see attitude. By 2H 2018, if the recovery is sustainable and take-up remains firm, the collective sale market is likely to pick up again as developers start to build up their landbank for launch in 2020.
SPK: It is interesting to note that high net worth foreigners are returning to the high-end market (despite the cooling measures still in place). Two-thirds of the buyers are Singapore permanent residents and foreigners. And according to List Sotheby’s, the number of luxury apartments (above $5 million) bought by foreigners and permanent residents in Singapore’s CCR last year more than doubled to 202 units. Looks like the high-end segment of the property market will drive the recovery this year?
SPK: Bank of Singapore expects foreign demand to return to Singapore residential property market. Residential rents are expected to bottom out and begin to recover due to a lower rate of physical unit completion. Home prices are expected to increase 3% to 8% in 2018, supported by a 5% to 10% recovery in rentals.